I looked at the NYT article that Dan Calabrese linked to, and among the more interesting things I found there was the political map of Michigan. Click on a particular U.S. House district and you’ll get information about it.
For each district you’ll find both the “projected vote” for the two major-party candidates, as well as a “chance of winning seat” calculation. The following list provides the “chance of winning seat” percentage for the underdog. The district number is parentheses.
Here are the percentages for some of the candidates in Michigan, with district number in parentheses:
13 (1st)
0 (2nd)
2 (3rd)
0 (4th)
0 (5th)
0 (6th)
33 (7th)
0 (8th)
30 (9th)
0 (10th)
0 (11th)
0 (12th)
0 (13th)
0 (14th)
1 (15th)
See something wrong here?
First published on The Michigan View
http://apps.detnews.com/apps/blogs/watercooler/index.php?blogid=856